The first annual report of the European Commission (published in December 2017) was based on the migration trends of 2015-2016 and the first half of 2017, when visa-free travel for Ukraine has not yet begun. This text is an attempt to predict what the European Commission’s verdict will be in the second report, when essentially the results of the first year of visa liberalization in Ukraine will be evaluated (2017 – the first half of 2018). We are additionally interested in the fate of Georgia and Moldova, since they are heading towards European integration with Ukraine.
Visa-free whip. Prospects of preserving a visa-free regime for Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia (PDF)